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<a class="site-name" href="/">National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration</a>
<a class="site-slogan" href="http://www.commerce.gov">U.S. Department of Commerce</a>
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<h1>8th NCEP Ensemble Users Workshop</h1>
<h3>2019 Aug 27-29 at NCWCP</h3>
<div class="et-hero-tabs-container">
<a class="et-hero-tab" href="#tab-about">About</a>
<a class="et-hero-tab" href="#tab-agenda">Agenda</a>
<a class="et-hero-tab" href="#tab-logistics">Logistics</a>
<a class="et-hero-tab" href="#tab-participants">Participants</a>
<a class="et-hero-tab" href="#tab-presentations">Presentations</a>
<a class="et-hero-tab" href="#tab-contacts">Contacts</a>
<span class="et-hero-tab-slider"></span>
</div>
</section>
<!-- Main -->
<main class="et-main">
<section class="et-slide" id="tab-about">
<h1>About this workshop</h1>
<!-- <h3> Sub title here</h3> -->
<p>The 8th NCEP Ensemble Users Workshop will be held at NOAA Center for Weather and Climate Prediction (NCWCP) in College Park, Maryland during the period 2019 Aug 27-29.</p>
<p>The workshop’s central theme is to support NWS in its transition from single value - deterministic to ensemble-based probabilistic forecasting and to convey forecast uncertainty to users in a manner that optimizes the utility of the information. The workshop will focus on a review of current ensemble forecast systems, with an emphasis on global systems and applications, ranging from prediction of regional weather systems with a few days lead time to large-scale phenomena with seasonal time scales. A complementary focus will be on working through our stakeholders and public users to support the NWS mission of providing weather, water, and climate data, forecasts and warnings for the protection of life and property and enhancement of the national economy. In addition, there will be discussions on future development of ensemble systems that utilize the NOAA Unified Forecast System (UFS). The development plan will fully consider user requirements and gather user inputs into the UFS context.</p>
<p>This workshop is organized by the NCEP Environmental Modeling Center (EMC) with support from the Office of Science and Technology Integration (OSTI) of NWS.</p>
<!-- <p>The themes include:</p>
<ol>
<li>Current state and plan of operational ensembles and products</li>
<ol>
<li>What is the current state of operational ensembles? The reviews include all scales and downstream applications, such as regional, global, climate, wave/surge, hydrological, hurricane and etc …</li>
<li>What products and guidance are available to users? The reviews include the products from NCEP UPP, NAEFS SPP, SREF post products (and others) for public, NBP for NWS and etc…</li>
</ol>
<li>User requirements and future plans</li>
<ol>
<li>How are ensembles currently used by broader users? The reviews include NCEP centers, NWC, fields (regions and WFO/RFC), private sectors and etc…</li>
<li>What are the evidence-based requirements for future ensemble generations? Those include future storm scale ensemble, week 3&4 global ensemble and others.</li>
<li>How can we work together to fulfill those requirements within operational limitations? This includes the reviews of UMAC’s recommendations, plan of NGGPS, ensemble post-processing, plan for reanalysis/reforecast and others.</li>
<li>How can we improve our services for broader users? Those will cover data distribution, product generation, product visualization, forecast verification and others.</li>
</ol>
<li>Encourage national/international community participation and cooperation</li>
<ol>
<li>How do we engage the community to encourage external model development and facilitate research-to-operations (and operations-to-research)? This includes the discussions from NCAR/DTC, NGGPS project, MMAP project, NMME, NOAA testbeds and others.</li>
<li>How can external developers make the R2O process easier, making it more likely their work will be incorporated operationally? </li>
<li>How can we enhance national cooperation through various projects? This includes ESPC/NUOPC, NMME and others.</li>
<li>How can different nations increase cooperation to improve (combined) ensemble products and future development? This includes experiences sharing from NAEFS, NMME, many foreign national centers (and institutions).</li>
</ol>
</ol> -->
</section>
<section class="et-slide" id="tab-agenda">
<h1>Agenda</h1>
<h3>TBA</h3>
</section>
<section class="et-slide" id="tab-logistics">
<h1>Logistics</h1>
<!-- <h3>something about Logistics</h3> -->
<p>The conference will be held in the NOAA Center for Weather and Climate Prediction (NCWCP) in College Park, Maryland.</p>
<p>Remote participation will be available. If you plan to participate remotely, please be sure to indicate that when you register.</p>
<p>Information on accomodations will be available at a later date.</p>
</section>
<section class="et-slide" id="tab-participants">
<h1>Participants</h1>
<h3>Remote Access Instructions</h3>
<p>TBA
</p>
</section>
<section class="et-slide" id="tab-presentations">
<h1>Presentations</h1>
<h3>TBA</h3>
</section>
<section class="et-slide" id="tab-contacts">
<h1>Contacts</h1>
<h3></h3>
<p>For all inquiries about the scientific program, please email <a href="mailto: Walter.Kolczynski@noaa.gov">Walter.Kolczynski@noaa.gov</a></p>
<p>For all inquiries about lodging, contact TBD</p>
</section>
</main>
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