Data used for predicting CO2 emission in model 2 can be found in UK_population.csv, GB_all_data.csv and data_quaterly.csv. While GB_all_data.csv was used to find best predictors, we used data_quaterly.csv to predict number of vehicles until 2030. Based on these, we use GB_all_data.csv, data_quaterly.csv and UK_population.csv to get the project of CO2 emissions.
Our sources came either from UK Government data about vehicles , National Atmospheric Emissions Inventory and Office of National Statistics . Please find exact details about source of each variable below, that includes either specific file name or filters used to extract the variables.
- Total_CO2_kilotonne - total_Vehicle_km * averageCO2 / 10^9
- Total_GHGs_kilotonne - Data from NAEI (category: cars , light duty tracs, heavy duty truck and buses, motorcycles, other road transport)
- Total_Cars - VEH0101
- Total_ULEV_cars - VEH0133
- Petrol - VEH0203
- Diesel - VEH0203
- All_EV - Sum of Hybrid Electric, Plug-in Hybrid Electric, Battery Electric, Range-Extended Electric, Fuel Cell Electric from VEH0203
- All_ULEV_veh133- VEH133
- ULEV_fraction - All_ULEV_veh133/Total_Cars
- UK_population - prediction taken from the Office of National Statistics (data until 2019)
- Total_Vehicle_km- tra0201
- Average_CO2_(g-km) - VEH0206
- Average _CO2_cars_first_registered(g-km) - VEH0156
- Total_CO2_(NAE_data) - Data from NAEI (category: cars , light duty tracs, heavy duty truck and buses, motorcycles, other road transport)
- Cars - VEH0101
- LCV - VEH0101
- HGV - VEH0101
- Total - VEH0101
- All_ULEV_cars - VEH133
- All_ULEV_vehicles - VEH133
- UK_population - full prediction until 2043 taken from the Office of National Statistics
- uses Google trend data for differrent terms connected to the electric vehicles (the file UK_pivotGoogle_orig.csv). The Google search trends can be downloaded here https://trends.google.com/trends/?geo=US
- Transport use during the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic : https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/transport-use-during-the-coronavirus-covid-19-pandemic
- Daily Carbon emission https://carbonmonitor.org (data filtered for UK, for Ground Transport sector from 1st January 2019 to 31st December 2020)
- Homeworking, data from the Office of National Statistis: https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/bulletins/coronavirustheukeconomyandsocietyfasterindicators/1october2020#measuring-the-data
- Homeworking, data from EU Open Portal : https://data.europa.eu/euodp/en/data/dataset/orJJzGDF3cnXimvsoKDfXw (data is cleaned and filtered for emplyed people in UK in order to get a baseline of homewoking pre-covid times inside the scenario2 ipyb)