-
Notifications
You must be signed in to change notification settings - Fork 10
/
ORNL-4995.txt
26333 lines (13205 loc) · 629 KB
/
ORNL-4995.txt
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
197
198
199
200
201
202
203
204
205
206
207
208
209
210
211
212
213
214
215
216
217
218
219
220
221
222
223
224
225
226
227
228
229
230
231
232
233
234
235
236
237
238
239
240
241
242
243
244
245
246
247
248
249
250
251
252
253
254
255
256
257
258
259
260
261
262
263
264
265
266
267
268
269
270
271
272
273
274
275
276
277
278
279
280
281
282
283
284
285
286
287
288
289
290
291
292
293
294
295
296
297
298
299
300
301
302
303
304
305
306
307
308
309
310
311
312
313
314
315
316
317
318
319
320
321
322
323
324
325
326
327
328
329
330
331
332
333
334
335
336
337
338
339
340
341
342
343
344
345
346
347
348
349
350
351
352
353
354
355
356
357
358
359
360
361
362
363
364
365
366
367
368
369
370
371
372
373
374
375
376
377
378
379
380
381
382
383
384
385
386
387
388
389
390
391
392
393
394
395
396
397
398
399
400
401
402
403
404
405
406
407
408
409
410
411
412
413
414
415
416
417
418
419
420
421
422
423
424
425
426
427
428
429
430
431
432
433
434
435
436
437
438
439
440
441
442
443
444
445
446
447
448
449
450
451
452
453
454
455
456
457
458
459
460
461
462
463
464
465
466
467
468
469
470
471
472
473
474
475
476
477
478
479
480
481
482
483
484
485
486
487
488
489
490
491
492
493
494
495
496
497
498
499
500
501
502
503
504
505
506
507
508
509
510
511
512
513
514
515
516
517
518
519
520
521
522
523
524
525
526
527
528
529
530
531
532
533
534
535
536
537
538
539
540
541
542
543
544
545
546
547
548
549
550
551
552
553
554
555
556
557
558
559
560
561
562
563
564
565
566
567
568
569
570
571
572
573
574
575
576
577
578
579
580
581
582
583
584
585
586
587
588
589
590
591
592
593
594
595
596
597
598
599
600
601
602
603
604
605
606
607
608
609
610
611
612
613
614
615
616
617
618
619
620
621
622
623
624
625
626
627
628
629
630
631
632
633
634
635
636
637
638
639
640
641
642
643
644
645
646
647
648
649
650
651
652
653
654
655
656
657
658
659
660
661
662
663
664
665
666
667
668
669
670
671
672
673
674
675
676
677
678
679
680
681
682
683
684
685
686
687
688
689
690
691
692
693
694
695
696
697
698
699
700
701
702
703
704
705
706
707
708
709
710
711
712
713
714
715
716
717
718
719
720
721
722
723
724
725
726
727
728
729
730
731
732
733
734
735
736
737
738
739
740
741
742
743
744
745
746
747
748
749
750
751
752
753
754
755
756
757
758
759
760
761
762
763
764
765
766
767
768
769
770
771
772
773
774
775
776
777
778
779
780
781
782
783
784
785
786
787
788
789
790
791
792
793
794
795
796
797
798
799
800
801
802
803
804
805
806
807
808
809
810
811
812
813
814
815
816
817
818
819
820
821
822
823
824
825
826
827
828
829
830
831
832
833
834
835
836
837
838
839
840
841
842
843
844
845
846
847
848
849
850
851
852
853
854
855
856
857
858
859
860
861
862
863
864
865
866
867
868
869
870
871
872
873
874
875
876
877
878
879
880
881
882
883
884
885
886
887
888
889
890
891
892
893
894
895
896
897
898
899
900
901
902
903
904
905
906
907
908
909
910
911
912
913
914
915
916
917
918
919
920
921
922
923
924
925
926
927
928
929
930
931
932
933
934
935
936
937
938
939
940
941
942
943
944
945
946
947
948
949
950
951
952
953
954
955
956
957
958
959
960
961
962
963
964
965
966
967
968
969
970
971
972
973
974
975
976
977
978
979
980
981
982
983
984
985
986
987
988
989
990
991
992
993
994
995
996
997
998
999
1000
o
S
A S
R
-4995
1oNns
L
ORNL
RO ke
o -
‘¢
ial Energy Opt
.
-y
.
>
Ise
Anderson
Bowers
Bryan
Delene
H
Jones Jr
Klepper
Reed
iewak
D
.
H
G
C
E.
H
A
Sp
T.
H
R.
J.
E.
J.
O
S
.
D
- 15/
Based on Coal and Nuclear Systems
An Assessment of Industr
Printed in the United States of America. Available from
National Technical Information Service
U.S. Department of Commerce
5285 Port Royal Road, Springfield, Virginia 22161
Price: Printed Copy $10.60; Microfiche $2.25
This report was prepared as an account of work sponsored by the United States
Government. Neither the United States nor the Energy Rescarch and Development
Administration, nor any of their employees, nor any of their contractors,
subcontractors, or their employees, makes any warranty, express or implied, or
assumes any legal liability or responsibility for the accuracy, completeness or
usefulness of any information, apparatus, product or process disclosed, or rapresents
that its use would not infringe privately owned rights.
ORNL-4995
UC-2 — General, Miscellaneous, and
Progress Reports
Contract No. W-7405-eng-26
REACTOR DIVISION
AN ASSESSMENT OF INDUSTRIAL ENERGY OPTIONS
BASED ON COAL AND NUCLEAR SYSTEMS
T.D. Anderson E. C. Hise
H. 1. Bowers J. E. Jones Jr.
R. H. Bryan 0. H. Klepper
J. G. Delene S. A. Reed
I. Spiewak
Industrial Participants
D. C. Azbill, Shell Oil Co. E. P. Scheu, International Paper Co.
E. A. Bonham, Jr., Dow Chemical Co.
J. T. Cockburn, Celanese Chemical Co.
R. P. Gerke, Union Carbide Corp.
H. G. Sommers, Crown Zellerbach Corp.
E. J. Sundstrom, Dow Chemical Co.
R. W. Wendes, Amoco Qil Co.
A. G. Payne, Monsanto Co.
R. L. Wright, Union Carbide Corp.
J. L. Ragan, Celanese Fibers Co.
JULY 1975
NOTICE work
s prepased 3s o8 ‘““'“‘mo:hitm
his reporl Wh Ty ited States GOVl 6 nergy
mm:;fiedv sutes nor the ,:i';:fiam mor sny of
the U nd Development Ad of theis contractors:
ces, RoT ‘“IMIP , makes Any
OAK RIDGE NATIONAL LABORATORY
Oak Ridge, Tennessee 37830
operated by
UNION CARBIDE CORPORATION
for the
U. S. ENERGY RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT ADMINISTRATION MASTER
¢ i
o
DISTRIBUTION OF THIS DOCUMENT UNLIMIEE’!)
Contents
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS ..................00u0n. ettt e e vii
ABST RACT ... ittt ittt et titeseeasaneasissssanssasnnsenasosennns ix
1. INTRODUCTION ............. i et e e e e 1
1.1 Purpose and Scope ............ S 1
1.2 Need for Alternatives ........... e et ber et a e 1
1.3 Energy AlternativesConsidered .......... ... ittt 5
2. RESULTS ..ottt ittiittieieeee aeaeaenansnsassaeeneaseaensaensassenenananssens 6
2.1 Description and Status of Energy SYStems . .. ......ovurerenrneneenrnenenenerennanens 6
2.1.1 Large Nuclear Systems . ..........ouierii it iieaianneans 6
2.1 SMaAll PW R ..ottt i et it e 6
213 Direct Coal Firing ., .. .. .ottt it i ie i eintenneerntasssnsanannnen 7
214 GasfromCoal ... ... . i i i i et e ettt 8
2.15 Liquid FuelsfromCoal ... ... ... ... i i i ittt eenes 9
2.1.6 Solvent-Refined Coal (SRC) ......iviiiiiiit ittt erreernanoronnonaanens 9
2.2 ASSESSIMENt . ... .. .. it ittt e 9
22,1 ReSOUICES .. i v ittt v ienreennaeienansssessnassanssosasssasssnnsennnsnns 9
2.2.2 General Applicability ...... ... i e 11
2.3 Environmental Considerations . ..........ccuiiitiiinenrennerenenaneneneaenenanns 14
2.3 NUCIEAT . ..ttt i ittt ittt et easeeeneeeansaneananssosesesananss 14
2.3.2 Coal-Based Systems . ... ..c.viiiiinntirnnenraeransataneetnssassonaannsnnn 15
24 BCONOMICS . ... 0iiiiiiiniiiiitsneetonnnnnaeecannnnnans i eereeee i 17
T 24.1 Capital Investments ... ..........uuureeeunmennaneennaeeenaaenenaneeneans 17
24,2 FUuelCostS ...\ ittitit ittt teseeeeeneeanneeeanonnsasananoansnnnas ... 18
243 Energy Production Costs . ... .....0iiiitiiiitiinenenesnonnnnnnoennnnnnnnns 19
2.4.4 Effects of Cost Variables on EconomicResults ................coiviiniiinnnnn 21
3. CONCLUSIONS ..... TRy hesaaedaes e, et 24
3.1 The Energy Need «....0.ccvvunnnn... e 24
32 TheEnergy Resources ..........coeiveevennnnnnan eeeee i itateesenaeeeraee.s 24
3.3 TheEnergy System Choices ...... ..ottt ittt iiirieeareenannneacsnnns 24
3.3.1 Direct FiringofCoal .................. et teeeete ettt 25
3.3.2 On-Site Coal Gasification ....... bttt eateataieeanaaeaeaeaateae earaaanaasss 25
3.3.3 Mine-Mouth Coal-Conversion Processes ................. e heear e 25
334 Nuclear Energy ... ..ottt ittt cenrsanrenosnsoeensossosocnnneanonanss 26
4. RECOMMEND ATIONS ...ttt ittt ettt eeetaeretaeanaseeeseseaaaseasaanns 27
4.1 Coal Systems ..... ettt ee st e e s e erenaneseeerenaes 27
4.2 Nuclear Systems . ... e e 27
iv
Part II. ENERGY SYSTEMS
5. NUCLEAR ENERGY SYSTEMS ... ittt ittt et ee et e ain e e 29
5.1 Assessment of Uranium ResOUICeS .. ... ..o it i tnn et eneanronnonnonannenans 29
5.1.1 Uranium Availability .......... ... it inriaannaanass .. 29
S12 UraniumDemand . ......... ittt int it iatereraneenoisetoansoanannsnns 31
5.1.3 Uranium Price Projections ............... it iiiiiiiiiiiiiiinneannns 31
5.1.4 Uranium Enrichment . ... ... ... . . i e e 34
5.1.5 Fuel Cycle Capital Requirements . ........................ et 38
52 Commercial NuclearPlants . .. ... .. ... i i i i it it s s e . 40
5.2, Introduction . .. ... it i i e e et e e 40
522 The BWR Power Plant .. ............iuiniininriienreranaraneseanonnoanan 42
523 The PWRPowerPlant . ... ... ... ... it inteeiniaaeernecnnenen 49
524 The HTGRPowerPlant .. ...... ... ... . ittt aeenann 55
5.2.5 Environmental Parameters ... ..........vuintiertnrinerrnnreeainaaaa.s 58
5.2.6 Operating and Maintenance ManpowerNeeds ..............c..civierrrerunnnnn. 62
5.2.7 Downtime for Refueling and Other Maintenance .....................c...covua, 66
5.2.8 Construction Schedule ................ e e e e 69
529 Economic Analysis . . ....covviveinnieniinninnnenn. S 71
5.3 Special-Purpose PWR forIndustry ..........cuiiriiiniiiinniinneenienneinanennns 88
5.3.1 Background and Statusof the CNSGReactor ............. ... ... .. ... ...... 88
532 Reactor Plant . ... ... ...ttt i e ettt s 89
5.3.3 Power-Conversion Plant .. ... ... ... . ittt it ittt 93
5.3.4 Description of 1235-MW(t) System . ....... ..o iuiiiiiiriniitiieiiennennannns 96
5.3.5 Economic Analysis .. ....ccoviiiinnintiiieinee it 96
CrfemMounted CNSG Reactor . ...ttt ittt e et e e ieninneaans 102
6.3 Fluidized-Bed Combustlon ..................................................... 170
6.3.1 Fluidized-Bed Boiler: General Descnptlon .................................... 170
6.3.2 Sulfur REMOVAl . ...ttt e e e 173
6.3.3 Regeneration of the Lime ......... et e e 173
6.34 NO, Formation ........ e S i 176
6.3.5 Development Problems........ e P e 177
6.3.6 Economic ANalyses . ... ... uun et e e e 177
6.3.7 Direct-Fired ProcessHeaters .. ................... e e, 179
6.4 Low-and Intermediate-BtuGas .................... e 180
6.4.1 General Description .. ................. e e ettt 180
6.4.2 State of Development and Commercial Avallablhty ............................. 181
6.4.3 System Characteristics . ... .o vttt ittt e it et e et e ettt ennenennn 181
6.4.4 Commercial Systems Presently Avallable ..................................... 182
6.4.5 New Systemsunder Development . .......... .. ittt ineennirrnnnns 188
6.4.6 GasPurification ...................... @ e e e e 188
6.4.7 Economic Analyses . .......c.iittiiiiinniit it iiniinnn i ... 189
6.5 HighBtuGas ................. e P 193
6.5.1 General Description .. ................i iuvinn.. et e e 193
6.5.2 State of Development and Commercial Avallablhty ............................. 196
6.5.3 System Characteristics . .. ... ... it ittt ittt et ittt s 196
6.54 Economic Analysis ................... et e e e e 203
6.5.5Availability.........t......, ..................................... e 205
6.6 Liquefaction and Clean Boiler Fuels from Coal ........... DU e 206
6.6.1 General Description . ... ........ ...ttt it e e 206
6.6.2 Technology for Coal Liquefaction .. ...... ... ... .. ... iiiiiiiviiaennn.. 207
6.6.3 State of Development and Commercial Avallablhty ............................. 209
6.6.4 System Characteristics . ... ... ittt e ittt it e ettt irea et eirnneeanns 209
6.6.5 Economic Analysis .. ... ..o itttniri it e e e e e 216
6.7 Methanol from Coal . ... ... .. i i e e 219
PART III. ASSESSMENT
. ASSESSMENT OF ENERGY ALTERNATIVES ........... B 223
8 T3 (= Tl 2% 1T g N 223
7.2 Direct Coal-Fired Boiler ... .........ovuvuierainneineennnnaon.. e 226
7.3 Low-, Intermediate-, and High-Btu Gas from Coal e e e, 227
7.4 Solvent-Refined Coal and Liquid Boiler Fuel fromCoal ....................0 ... 229
7.5 Selected Comparison of Steam Costs from Alternative Processes ........................ 230
7.6 Retrofitting an Existing Gas-Fired Boiler (or Process Heater) s 232
7.7 Sensitivity Analysis ............conniiiinnn... s e PP 234
7.8 Conclusions ..............covanina.n.n e e et e ues et et et e 234
. INDUSTRIAL VIEW OF ALTERNATIVES ............ e e, 239
- 8.1 Pulp and Paper Manufactunng ....... et et de et it e 239
8.1.1 CrownZelletbach ...................... e e n et edee e et e 239
vi
8.2 Petrochemical Manufacturing . ... ...... ... i iinnanns et 242
8.2.1 Celanese Chemical Company ............... et ettt et eaat e ia e, 242
822 DowChemica, USA ... ... ... it 243
8.2.3 Monsanto Company ......... i ittt et aeereeee e e 244
8.2.4 Union Carbide Corporation (UCC) . ... .. ..ottt ittt iiiiaenan 245
83 Petroleum Refining . .......... .0 iiiinitiiiirnintionnrinnaternanrennsssannsn 248
8.3.1 AmMoco Oil Company ... ..t itiiiiiiiieiientsanetnonestnnsssannsnnannss 248
8.32 Shell Ol Company . .......ciuiiiiinenenreeennnenrosanaoaaeasseasansnannnnns 250
APPENDIX A. NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE ANALYSIS ... ... it it ii i e aee s 257
APPENDIX B. STEAM LINE COST STUDY — BASIS OF COSTESTIMATE ................... 274
APPENDIX C. STEP-BY-STEP PROCEDURE IN AEC LICENSING OF '
NUCLEARPOWERREACTORS . ....... ..ot e e 276
APPENDIX D. STANDARD FORMAT AND CONTENT OF SAFETY ANALYS!S | o
REPORTS FOR NUCLEARPOWERPLANTS ..... ...t iiin i annans 280
APPENDIX E. STANDARD FORMAT AND CONTENT OF ENVIRONMENTAL
REPORTS FORNUCLEARPOWERPLANTS ....... ... . i, 290
APPENDIX F. POPULATION RISK PROFILES FOR TEXAS AND LOUISIANA
INDUSTRIALIZED AREA . ... i i i i ittt it ineanananaas 293
vii
Acknéwledgments
The authors gratefully acknowledge the assistance of Oran L. Culberson, the University of
Tennessee, in organizing the study and suggesting industrial participants and the guidance of J. O.
Roberts and T. Beresovski, ERDA. '
M. L. Myers, 1. T. Dudley, and M. L. Winton assisted in the preparation of the nuclear cost
studies. H. D. Duncan and J. W. Yarborough of UCNC Engineering Division provided data used in
calculating the energy (steam) transport costs.
Special thanks is in order for the many people who were responsible for coordinating and
expediting the report. These include F. M. Burkhalter (illustrations), G. C. Bower and J. O. Brown
(draft preparation), M. R. Sheldon and E. D. Williams (editing), ORNL Technical Publications
Department (final composition), and B. S. Harmon (makeup).
ix
Abstract
Industry consumes about 409 of the total primary energy used in the United States. Natural gas
and oil, the major industrial fuels, are becoming scarce and expensive; therefore, there is a critical
national need to develop alternative sources of industrial energy based on the more plentiful
domestic fuels—coal and nuclear. This report gives the results of a comparative assessment of
nuclear- and coal-based industrial energy systems which includes technical, environmental,
economic, and resource aspects of industrial energy supply. The nuclear options examined were
large commercial nuclear power plants (light-water reactors or high-temperature gas-cooled reactors)
and a small [~300-MW(t)] special-purpose pressurized-water reactor for industrial applications.
Coal-based systems selected for study were those that appear capable of meeting environmental
standards, especially with respect to sulfur dioxide; these are (1) conventional firing using either low-
or high-sulfur coal with stack-gas scrubbing equipment, (2) fluidized-bed combustion using
high-sulfur coal, (3) low- and intermediate-Btu gas, (4) high-Btu pipeline-quality gas, (5) solvent-
refined coal, (6) liquid boiler fuels, and (7) methanol from coal.
Results of the study indicated that both nuclear and coal fuel can alleviate the industrial energy
deficit resulting from the decline in availability of natural gas and oil. However, because of its
‘broader range of application and relative ease of implementation, coal is expected to be the more
important substitute industrial fuel over the next 15 years. In the longer term, nuclear fuels could
assume a major role for supplying industrial steam.
Part I. Executive Summary
1. Introduction
1.1 PURPOSE AND SCOPE
This study was a joint undertaking of the Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) and eight
industrial firms representing paper, chemical process, and petroleum refining industries. The purpose
of the study was to analyze alternative future sources of energy for industrial uses. The assessment
includes technical, environmental, ecdnomic, and resource availability aspects of industrial energy
supply. Since coal and nuclear appear to be the only domestic fuels with the potential for meeting an
increased share of near-term energy demands and with an adequate long-term resource base, these
were the only fuels considered. '
1.2 NEED FOR ALTERNATIVES
The industrial sector, the largest energy user in the United States, accounts for about 40% of the
total primary energy consumption (Fig. 1.1). Natural gas and petroleum are the primary fuels
currently used by industry; of the direct fuel uses, 519 is natural gas, 279% is oil, and 22% is coal.
Both natural gas and petroleum are becoming scarce, and the prices are escalating rapidly. Perhaps
an even greater concern to industry is that no longer can a long-term supply of gas or oil be assured
regardless of price. As a consequence, industry will have to rely more and more on the plentiful
domestic fuel resources (i.e., coal and nuclear) in the future. From a national energy viewpoint, the
use of coal or nuclear fuel in industry would release gas and oil for other uses and would move us an
important step toward the national goal of self-sufficiency in energy. Figure 1.2 shows the industrial
consumption of gas and petroleum projected by the Department of Interior for 1980,' and, for
‘comparis.'on, the prbjected U.S. shortfall by 1980. As will be noted, the use of -substitute domestic
fuels by industry would materially reduce our dependénce_on foreign supply.
~ Natural gas and petroleum are consumed in both fuel and nonfuel applications. Nonfuel uses
include chemical feedstocks, lubricants, etc. Less than 7% of the natural gas and nearly 38% of the
1. W. G. Dupree, Jr., and James A. West, United States Energy Through the Year 2000, U.S. Department of the Interior
(December 1972).
ORNL.-DWG 74-12792
7%/77] FUELS USED TO GENERATE UTILITY ELECTRICITY
7,,/] CoAL
oIL DIRECT FUELS
NATURAL GAS
30 | ki
2272727 -— 40
. .’f;,/’;//////
Y 77 IIl S
b s r sl
VA SIILSL
2% b s 77/l LS
| s
7 s/
1000000000 Y/ 2L LSS LSS,
s s 222727 (1272020405
s a2 r Ll AT
32 vy
5 2 B 7%
: Vi V] s g
20 - /////////// ~ o
e i V) S
- [ f . z =
2 222277 / A
= s s {/, 7. / &
/////////// /s /j[ // ) S5
5 ) B 2
= oo ese s /,,‘_:{:/.// z
£ 0 Widded? g
= 15— /;///////// hy
B s 0400 ] 3
2 ke Ll 20 =
3 O
8 E
S <
2 2
g uw
s o
< =
< 2
w
O
i
—{10 w
AND
COMMERCIAL
Fig. 1.1. Energy consumption in the United States, 1971.
petroleum -consumed by industry is used for nonfuel purposes. Although coal umay eventually be
converted to forms suitable for chemical feedstocks, the best opportunity for industrial energy
substitutions is in the area of fuels. ' ‘ |
The Department of Interior projections to the year 2000 reported by Dupree and West'
assumed that the rate of increase of industrial energy consumption would average 3.3%/year. The
energy increases were assumed to be borne by natural gas, petroleum, and utility-produced
electricity. Although the projections were quite reasonable in 1972, recent events suggest that the use
ORNL-DWG 7412802
20
15 —
F
a
o o
© z
-~ 10 -
> a
Q o O
o« o = I
L z 3 &
i & = i
»n3 [a - =2
DD O <
S5— 1o I =
=z W o
-— }_g
B35
a
z
NATURAL GAS PETROLEUM
Flg 1.2. Comparison of industrial consumption and U.S. deficit of natural gas and petroleum in 1980. (Source ' West and
Dupree.')
of gas as an industrial fuel will decline because reserves are inadequate to meet demands. The
increased use of oil for industrial fuel may, in fact, come about, but this is contrary to the goal of
self-sufficiency in energy. .
Another possible scenario developed from the Department of Interior projections is shown in
Fig. 1.3. In developing these data, the following assumptions were made.
1. Total industrial energy use and the contributions of coal and electricity to the total are the
same as those reported by Dupree and West.
2. The nonfuel energy sources are the same as those reported by Dupree and West.:
3. Natural gas for industrial fuel will be phased out linearly starting in 1975 and endingin 1985.
‘4. Oil for industrial fuel will be phased out linearly starting in 1980 and ending in 1990.
The deficit in industrial fuels resulting from the assumed phaseout of oil and gas, illustrated in
Fig. 1.3, would have to be made up by coal, nuclear, and other energy sources. According to this
scenario, the rate of changeover in the decade 1975 to 1985 would need to be very great. For
example, the new capacity of industrial boilers and process heaters added in that period, as shown in
‘Table 1.1, would be nearly 60% of the thermal energy capacity that will be installed by the electric
—utlllty 1ndustry in the same time period. It should be noted that nearly threeé-fourths of the “new”
industrial energy capacity for the 1975 to 1985 period will be obtained by retrofitting existing
industrial plants. There is serious doubt as to _Vw_her'the_r the éés’umed rate of phaseout of gas and oil is
feasible because (1) some promising methods of utilizing coal or nuclear for industrial fuels are not
sufficiently developed for commercial application, and (2) equipment manufacturers and the fuel
resource industries will be hardpressed to meet both the industrial and electric utility demands.
ORNL—-DWG 7412794
2000
L
bg "
AL D g
1w W
220 | D20
o0 2w
= o
A A
-
o
TZ%”V?Q. T
> ZaaanTy a
1995
1990
1985
YEAR
1980
1475
g & &
(Mg g,01) NOILJWNSNOD ASHIN3
1970
Fig. 1.3. Industrial energy supply to the year 2000 assuming phaseout of gas and oil.
5
27
B3
=28
i3
g%
Z 9
- 8
- B
-~
2 8
-
required to the year 2000
New capacity? [MW(t)]
For period
Period
Annual average
57,800
89,900
44,400
25,200
25,100
48,500
289,000
449,500
1975-1980
19801985
222,000
1985-1990
1990--1995
126,000
125,500
1,212,000
1995-2000
Total 1975-2000
4Boilers and process heaters assumed to oper-
ate at 90% plant factor and with a fuel-to-heat
conversion efficiency of 85%.
The present trend in industries that burn natural gas is to convert process heaters and boilers to
oil. Although most industries recognize that this could be a stop-gap measure, there are essentially
no other alternatives at the present time. Thus, there is an urgent need to develop energy options
based on domestic fuels for the industrial sector. '
1.3 ENERGY ALTERNATIVES CONSIDERED
There are a number of ehergy systems options based on either coal or nuclear fuel. The nuclear
options examined were large commercial nuclear power plants [light-water-cooled reactors (LWRs)
or high-temperature gas-cooled reactors (HTGRs)] and a small [~300-MW(t)] special-purpose
pressurized-water reactor (PWR) for industrial applications. Coal-based systems selected for study
were those that appear capable of meeting environmental standards, especially with respect to sulfur
dioxide; these are (1) conventional firing using either low-sulfur coal or high-sulfur coal with
stack-gas scrubbing, (2) fluidized-bed combustion using high-sulfur coal, (3) low- and
intermediate-Btu gas, (4) high-Btu pipeline-quality gas (5) solvent-refined coal (SRC), (6) liquid
boiler fuels, and (7) methanol from coal.
Although much of the assessment of energy systems is applicable to all regions of the country,
the emphasis of the study was on the Gulf Coast area, since industries in this region are large energy
consumers and the primary fuel is natural gas. Since both technical and economic data on energy
systems are changing rather rapidly, it should be képt in mind that the assessment given in this study
is based on data obtained during the first half of 1974. Furthermore, only those energy systems that
have the potential for significant commercial implementation within the next 15 years were
considered. Thus, energy sources such as breeder reactors, fusion, and solar were not examined.
2. Results
2.1 DESCRIPTION AND STATUS OF ENERGY SYSTEMS
2.1.1 Large Nuclear Systems
Large nuclear power plants commercially available are the boiling-water reactor (BWR), the
PWR, and the HTGR. Both BWRs and PWRs use slightly enriched uranium dioxide pellets as fuel
and demineralized water as coolant and moderator. The fuel of the HTGR is a mixture of uranium
carbide (highly enriched in **U) and thorium oxide, the moderator and core structure is graphite,
and the coolant is helium. ' . ' | o ,
All present reactors were developed to serve the needs of the electric utility industry, and, with
“one exception, all existing or planned large reactors are single-purpose electricity-generating plants.
'The Consumers Power Midland, Michigan, nuclear station, which will commence operation in 1980,
is designed to produce both electricity for the grid ‘and'process steam for the Dow Chemical
Company complex located nearby. _ _ _ _ _
Commercial nuclear steam supply sy‘stem-s are available in standard sizes, ranging from 1900 to
3800 MW(t) (Table 2.1). Typically, the BWRs and PWRs produce steam at 1000 psia saturated; the
HTGR steam conditions are 2400 psia and 510°C (950° F).
Table 2.1. Commerzcial nuclear steam supply systems
Reactor type
BWR PWR HTGR
Number of U.S. manufacturers 1 3 1
Size range, MW(t) 19563833 1882-3818 2000-3000
Steam conditions, psia 1040 915-1125 2400
(sat.) (sat.) (950°F)
As of Dec. 31, 1973, there were 42 large reactors operating, 56 under construction, and 101
planned or on order. The large size of the units, coupled with a relatively complex regulatory
process, results in a long period of planning and construction totaling 7 to 10 years. After a
reasonable shakedown period for new plants, it is expected that plant availability factors of ~80%
can be achieved.
2.1.2 Small PWR
_ The Consolidated Nuclear Steam Generator (CNSG) is a small [~300-MW(t)] PWR developed
by Babcock and Wilcox for nuclear ship propulsion. Part of the developmental work was sponsored
by the U.S. Maritime Administration. Conceptual studies of land-based and barge-mounted
versions of the CNSG were made to assess, in a preliminary way, the potential value of this reactor
for industrial applications.
The basic technology embodied in the CNSG is similar to that for large PWRs, but the CNSG
has some unique features. It is a very compact system; the compactness is accomplished: by placing
the once-through steam generator inside the reactor vessel and by using a pressure-suppression
containment system. Primary coolant pumps are placed on the reactor vessel, thus eliminating
external coolant loops. Steam is produced at 700 psia and 237°C (458°F) (50°F superheat).
Some of the unique features of the plant design, including the once-through steam generator,
have already been demonstrated in the German nuclear ship “Otto Hahn™; this 38-MW(t) plant has