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ORNL-TM-1851.txt
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ORNL-TM-1851.txt
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[y
-y ‘;
OAK RIDGE NATIONA LABORAIORY
operated by
UNION CARBIDE CORPORATION
NUCLEAR DIVISION LTI
for the
U.S. ATOMIC ENERGY COMMISSION
ORNL- TM- 1851
(COPY NO. - 208
DATE - June 12, 1967
SUMMARY OF THE OBJECTIVES, THE DESIGN, AND A PROGRAM
OF DEVELOPMENT OF MOLTEN-SALT BREEDER REACTORS
R. B. Briggs CFSTI RRICES :
HC. si-_f?g_”, ,,,._,__é__i
ABSTRACT
Molten-salt thermal breeder reactors are characterized by low
specific inventory, moderate breeding gain with low fuel cycle cost,
and high efficiency for converting heat into electricity. Studles
indicate they should be able to produce electricity in 1000-Mw(e)
stations for about 2.6 mills/kwhr in investor-owned utilities, a
-cost that is as low or lower than projected for advanced converter
reactors or fast breeder power stations. The fuel utilization
characteristics compare favorably with those of fast breeders.
The present status of the breéderztechnology is being demon-~
strated in successful operation of the Molten-Salt Reactor Experiment.
A two-region Molten-Salt Breeder Experiment to demonstrate &ll the
‘basic technology for full-scale breeders is proposed as the next
step in the development. Design and construction of the MSBE would
be accompanied by a program of fuels, materials, fuel reprocessing,
and engineering development. Development, construction, and startup
of the breeder reactor is estimated to take about eight years and
to cost about $125 million.
NOTICE
This document contains information of a preliminary nature and was prepared
primarily for internal use at the Oak Ridge National Laboratory. It is subject
to revision or correction and therefore does not represent a final report. The
information is not to be abstracted, reprinted or otherwise given public dis-
semination without the approval of the ORNL patent branch, Legal and Infor-
mation Control Department.
BE“MHflKflEUHUflEUfiQmmfimfflflflfl??fil
- LEGAL NOTICE
. This report was prcpured as an uccount of Govommom sponsored work, Nellhor the Unltod Siatos,
_nor the Commission, nor any person acting on beholf of the Commission: T
A. Makes any warranty or representation, cxpussod or implied, with respect to the accuracy,
completeness, or usefulness of the information centained in this report, or that the use of -
any information, apparatus, method, or proeess disclosed in this report may not infrlnyo. '
privately owned rights; or
B. Assumes ony liobilities with respect to flu use of, or for damages resulting from the use of
_any information, apparatus, methed, or process disclosed in this report,
As used in the above, *‘person acting on behalf of the Commission” incledes any employao or .
contractor of the Commission, or employee of such contractor, to the extent that such employes
or contractor of the Commission, or employse of such contractor prepares, disseminates, or
provides access to, any information pursvant to his employment or centract wnth the Commilllon,-" '
or his omployment with such contractor,
Y 1ot
g
o
N
CONTENTS |
Why Develop Molten-Salt Breeders ------ memmemecee e s —————————————— 7
Fuel U%ilization Comparison ------ --Q-;----,—--—e--------e-------,--- 9
Growth of Electric Generating Capacity cemmeemceccememem———e———
Nuclear Fuel Resources ---ececccaea cemmemesemedeecm e e e 10
Fuel-Utilization Characteristics of Converter Reactors -=e-mer=- 10
Fuel Resource Requirements with Converter Reactors ————wee——en—- 12
Fuel Utilization Characteristics of Breeder Reactors ---eeee---- 14
Fuel Resource Requirements with Breeder Reactors ----=-c--eee-a- 1k
Cost-of -Power Comparison --3-4;---' ------- ;;..-,;-------; ------------- 19
Capi%al COStE —m-rcccmmecmnrcrnrcrrcrccrccccnra e c e e e —— 19
- Operating. COBES wmmmmmmcm e m e e e m——— 21
Fuel Cycle and Total Power Costs --------- —m—mmcee e e ——————— 21
1000-Mw(e) Molten-SaltfiThermelereeder Power Plant —--a--;e—-e--¢e4e- 22
Reference Plant Design mcenmemmetm——————— o o o e e 0 0 o e 23
Fuel, Blanket, and Coolant Salts ----=ewe-eccccccmoccaaccaaa- 23
: Flowsheet meemememe——n meesmceenmcmcrana- meeesmceseaaa— —mmae 23
" Reactor Design -Q;-;7-;;--é——--'—-'-..'—--ii--'---.--'-_----d-a:'-'--—"--.“a‘uu-s 26
Heat Exchange Systems remeeemcecene- cemmecocesmeencea e cmsma 33
Fuel and Blanket Processing menecreererrnccesce e — e ———————— 30
Capital-Cost Estimates «----eccwwea- R ——mmsem- 36
Reactor Powver Plant --c-cecaceccana- BT G 1<
Fuel Recyc1e Plant "'-"""---------F----"-fl-l—-—---—n-uu-q —————— h.o
Nuclear Performance and Fuel Cycle Analyses ----;-f----;-_ ------- 1
' Analysis Procedures and Basic Assumptions -ee--e-ecececcaceas 143
Nuclear Performence and Fuel-Cycle Cost --------- ——————————— Ls
Power-Production Cost and Fuel Utilization -
- Characteristics. --f-?f-FF’-’?""f’”-‘-?*?éfl—P-E-—--fif-Ef-f-f—- L5
Alternatives to the Reference Design mmmmeeemeemoemeecanmsaaaaan 45
Modular Designs -w=-==srecccscesenc—a- reemmecmm——ceaan— wmeswa 50
Mixed-Fuel Reactor =eeremrmeccreccacrcccccnccacccccccanncaccana 53
Direct-Contact Cooling with Molten Lead *'7"'ff‘f'f"f ...... 58
Program fer Development of Molten-Salt Thermel Breeder L '
Power Plants ----------—-——--f--—g—-e-— -------- ee-e--e—--g-—ge-s---- 59
: Steps in the Development é---------------------;-;;-------a ----- 59
Present Status. of the Technology -~ MSRE —-4---------—-;-;-fi-.--- 60
~ Advances .in Technology. Required for a High- - Sl o
Performance Thermal Breeder --------------------;-_-5;---_;-__- 1
: Criteria for the Molten-Salt Breeder Experiment -------;,_—-_---.72
Summary of Plems, Schedule, and COBLE ==mmmemm-= meeeccmcccemcccccanae TS
Molten-Salt Breeder Experiment --------------—-----4—, ----------- S
Engineering Test Unit and Fuel Processing Pilot Plant ~eeewme-ee 5
CONTENTS (continued)
- -Development of Components end Systems «-c-cceeccacaccacacccneacea- 78
Instrumentation end Controls Development —wececcacccccccrcocawoa. T8
Materials Development. -;--------fi-------------—------—---~-—--—- T9
Chemical Research and Development ~=-eec-ccecana - ————— remmm=e T
Fuel and Blanket Processing Development ===ememm-mcecmemcccac--o 80
Maintenance Development ----e-e-cnwccce-- cressmenccmrran——-— —————— 80
~ Physics Program ---=-===- sremrssceeccsancmcan- cemmmpeecnncasnees 80
~ Safety Progrem --------=--cc-sc-sceco- semmmmesecesemocmcommonese 8]
Fig.
Fig.
Fig.
- Fig{
Fig.
Fig.
Fig.
Fig.
Fig.
Fig.
Fig.
Fig.
Fig.
- Figo
Fig.
LIST OF FIGURES
1. Fuel Required for Inventory end cflrrent —
Burnup in Converter Reactors ------------—#----4----5------6 13
2. Total Fuel Requirements for Nnclear Power
- Industry Based on Introduction of Breeder
3. Total Fuel Requirements for Nuclear Power Industry |
Based on Introduction of Breeder Reactors in 1986 ~-eecmee-- 18
k., Molten-Salt Bréeder Reactor FlOWflDiagram.--A--f----sfs--;---.25
5. Molten-5alt Breeder Reactor Cell Arrangement, , :
Plan View -------- cecsmcmcsececemsnere e e n———— cnmcam——- 27
6. Mblten-Salt Breeder Reactor Cell. Arrangement, |
EJ.EVfltion ---- _"""""f" ---- .----7"-,--_-------_----_'-‘-_-,--,“----"' 28
T. Reactor Primery Equipment ----- mecmca—- ;;-—f-;----;;,- ----- 29
8. Molten-Salt Breeder Reactor Core Cell ~--meccccecaaccmceaeaas 30
9. Molten-Salt Breeder Reactor Primary Heat -
EXChanger and Pulnp ---— ------- - e W e AR 4 AR A mmm- V--'-'---..--'--;.--- 31"
10. MSBR Core and Blanket Processing Schefme «r-m-eemammema—n-- - 37
11. MSBR Fuel-Recycle Costs as & Function of . i
PI‘OCGSSing Rates "'-“""""------‘---’-0--------{-—-> -------- ‘—‘— ----- ,.[.2
12. Variation of Fuel-Cycle Cost with Fuel Yield :
in MSER end MSBR(Pa) Concepts -—------g ----- cememsmemcc————— 48
13.-Mblten-Sa1t Breeder Reactor Plan of Modular Units ~eme=cre-- '51
1)%. Elevation of Modular Units =eemees-e--mceeccceeeeaeco- —————- 52
15, Mixed-Fuel 1000-Mw(e) BeactorCeil_Eievation ;-----a-ff--;m-57_
'f,ffir. :
)
W e
&)
’,B‘C.- .’
LIST OF FIGURES (continued)
Fig. 16. MSRE Flow D16gTam ==ie-=s=snem-mm=mmomnsmm=mmemmcnmmnmmns 61
Fig. 17. General Arrangement of MSRE --es-meecmmmsmnemmemmncememens 62
f‘ig; 18. Re.a..ctor).V‘e:ssel'-;-'----‘-.-------.-;-.---.-----...'. ................. 65
Fig. 19. MSRE Activities - July 196h-necember 1965. --------;_ ........ 66
Fig. 20. MSRE Activities - January 1966-May 1967 cmremrmememmamacane OT
LIST OF TABLES
Table 1. Electric Utility Generating Capacity memeeseecceere——————— 9
Table 5. = Fuel-Utilization Characteristics of Several
Breeder Reactors --------------—-----,-._-------------- ----- - 16
Teble _“6'. A Comparison of Estimated Costs for Breeder and
' and Advanced Converter Reactors Based on Investor-
- Owned Utilities Charges memeecsecccmccmecdcmr e cesc e ————— 20
‘Table T. Estimated Physical_ Properties of MSBR Fuel, |
Blanket, end Coolant Salte =eewwcecca- cmmcdemcm e —————— ol
Table 8. Reactor Design Values -------- —m—e—e————— m=mmmmmcmsmeceeece 31
Teble 9., Preliminary Cost-Estimate Sunnnary for & 1000-Mw(e)
Molten-Salt Breeder Reactor Power Station
| /MSBR(Pa) or MSBE? --_-_-_-_'----'*'-"--"---'",'---------f-"'-".-‘ 38
T_a'ble 10. .'_'Summary of Processing-Plant Capital Costs
. fore lOOO-Mw(e) MSBR -=s-comomocnococo- S — T — ko
' Table 11. Summary of Annusl Operating and Maintensmce
S __-Costs for Fuel Recycle ina 1000-Mw(e) MSBR meme—mer——e e b1
Teble 12, Economic Ground Rules Used 1in Obtaining Fuel- |
'_ o | ' ' Cycle COStS ---é-i-m--,:-_--f----f----_---p-—--n-.------.'-'_-._-'.'- ------- 11-3
Teble 13, Behavior of Fiseion Products in MSBR Systems ---emmm-mmmm- bl
LEGAL NOTICE
This report was prepared as an account of Governmient sponsored work. Neither the United b
" Btates, nor the Commission, nor aAny person aeting on behalf of the Commisston: . !
A, Makes any warranty or representation, expredsed or implied, with reapect to the accu- |
racy, completeness, or usefulness of the information contained in this report, or that the use .
- of any information, apparatus, method, or process ¢ dsclosed in this report may not infringe
. -privately owned rights; or .
: B. Assumes any liabilities with respect to the use of, or for damages resulting from the
- use of any information, lppunlns method, or procedl disclosed in this report.
. As used fn the above, ‘*person acting on behalf of the Commission’ includes any em-
i ployee or contractor of the Commission, or omplcyée of sich contractor, to the extent that
.uch amployee or contnctor of the comminlon or employee o! mch oontrlctor prepareu i
Table 2. U.S, Nuclear Fuel Resources -------------------- ——————— --10
Teble 3. ) Fuel-Use Characteristics of Several Types o
' of Conver‘ter Reactors ---------nfluu-—-—--- ---------- - 11
Table h ~ Partial Effect of Usoa on Cost of Power --:----i-----'---;--- 15
Teble 1k,
stle 15.
Teble "16.
Table 17.
Table 18.
Taeble 19.
Table 20.
Table 21,
Table 22.
Table 23.
Prqposed Schedule for Molten-Salt Breeder ;
- Experiment ~eececmcccccccccccncncmnmiceccnnccnaa- cmmcmcnae 76
- LIST OF TABLES (continued)
Neutron Balences for the MSER(Pa) and the' |
,MSBRIDesign Conditions e cssesae . — e m e —--———- --------h6
Fuel-Cycle Cost for MSBR(Pa) and MSBR Plants ------ ' ——————— h'r_ :
Powver-Production Cost and Fuel-Utilization
Characteristics of the MSER(Pa) and the MSBR
- Plants -7-5----------5----------1---.---3-----_--_---;__,-hg
Désign Values for_Modnlar Plantsf-; ------ ---;--------;;--_5h.
'Fuel-Cyole Costs fromnModular Plants.-f;-----#-----js-—s--56
Some Performance Date fsf MixedéFuei Reactor T L.
Accumilated Operating Experience with MERE —mmmmemecmmmmee Gl
Comparison of Characteristics of Full-Scale | |
and Pj_],o'l; Plant Breeders =«-—ceecccccccame- —————— _----5-'—-7]4,
_ )
Summary of Estimated Costs for Development,
. Construction, end Startup of the Molten- ' ,
Salt Breeder Experiment -eeeeeccccccccccccmcoraccncansonnn T
5
‘%fi% -y
';v' »
<)
“ (v {,)..
up in the development of the fast breeder.
- R.'C. Briant, who directed the ANP project at ORNL. Briant pointed out
- that molten. fluorides are thermodynemically steable’ against reduction by-
- nickel-based structural materials; that, being ionic, they should suffer
~ pressure ‘and being relatively inert in contact with alr, reactors based
‘on them should be safe. The experience-at ORNL with molten salts during
WHY DEVELOPIMOLTEN-SADT BREEDERS?
Nnclear power, based on 1ight-water-moderated converter reactors,
seems to be'an assured commercisl success. This circumstance has placed
upon the Atomic Energy Commission the burden of forestalling any serious
rise in the cost of nuclear power once our country has been fully committed
to this source of energy. It is for this reason that the development of
an economical breeder, at one time viewed as a long-range goal, has emerged
as the central task of the atomic energy enterprise. Moreover, as our
country commits itself more and more heavily to nuclear power, the stake
in developing the breeder rises: breeder development simply must not fail.
All plausible paths to a successful breeder must therefore be examdned
carefully. . ,
To be . successful & breeder mist meet three requirements. First, the
breeder must be technically feasible. Second, the cost of power from the
' breeder must be low; and third, the breeder should utilize fuel so effi-
ciently that a full-fledged energy economy based on the breeder could be
established without using high-cost ores. The molten-salt breeder appears
to meet these criteria as well as, and in some respects better than, any
other reactor system. Moreover, since the technology of molten-salt
breeders hardly overlaps the technology of the solid-fueled fast reactor,
its development provides the world with an alternate path to long-term
cheap nuclear energy that is not affected by any Obstacles that may crop
The molten-salt. breeder, though seeming to be a by-way in reactor
development, in fact represents the culminetion of more than 1T years of
research and development. The incentive to develop a reactor based on
fluid fuels has been strong ever since the early days of the Metallurgical
Laboratory. In 1958 the most prominent fluid fuel projects were the:
liquid bismuth reactor, the aqueous homogeneous reactor; and the molten-
salt reacter.f In 1959 the AEC assembled & task force to evaluate the
three concepts. The principal conclusion of their report! was that the
"molten-salt reactor has the highest probability of achieving technical
feasibility. | : .
operation of the Mblten-Salt Reactor Experiment. To thoservho have
followed the molten-salt project closely, this success 1s hardly sur-
prising. The essential technical feasibility of the molten-salt system
is based. on. certain'thermodynamic realities first pointed out by the late
no radiation damage in the liquid- state, end that, having low vapor
the intervening years has confirmed Briant's chemical intuition. Though
some technical uncertainties remain, particularly those connected with
the graphite moderator, the path to a successful molten-salt breeder
appears to be well defined.
AN
We estimate that a 1000-Mw(e) molten-salt breeder should cost $115
per kilowatt (electric).and that the fuel cycle cost ought to be in the
range of 0.3 to 0.4t mill/kvhr(e). The overall cost of power from a pri-
vately owned, 1000-Mw(e) Molten-Salt Breeder Reactor should come to
around 2,6 mills/kvhr(e). In contrast to the fast breeder, the extremely
low cost of the MSBER fuel cycle hardly depends upon sale of byproduct
. fissile material, Rather, it depends upon certain advances in the chemical
processing of molten fluoride salts that have been demonstrated either in.
pilot plents or lsboratories: ‘fluoride volatility to recover uranium,
~ vacuum distillation to rid the salt of fission products, .and for highest
. performonce, but with somevwhat.less assurance, removal of protactinium‘by
liquid-liquid extraction or ebsorption.- S
The molten-salt ‘breeder, operating in the thermal Th—-saU cycle, is
characterized by & low breeding retio: the maximum breeding ratio con-
sistent with low fuel cycle costs is estimated to be ebout 1.07. This
. low breeding ratio is compensated by the low specific inventory* of the .
MSBR. Wherezss the specific inventory of the fast reactor ranges between
2.5 to 5 kg/Mw(e), the specific inventory of the molten-salt breeder
ranges between O, b to 1.0 kg/Mw(e). The estimated fuel doubling time.
for the MSER therefore falls in the range of 8 to 50 years. This is com-
parable to estimates of doubling times of 7 to 30 years given in fast -
breeder reactor design studies. .
From the point of view of long-term conservation of resources, low
specific inventory in itself confers an adventage upon the thermal breeder.
If the emount of nuclear power grows linearly, the doubling time and the
specific’ inventory enter symmetrically in determining the maximum emount
of raw material that must be mined in order to inventory the vhole nuclear
system. Thus, low specific inventory is en essential criterion: of merit
for a breeder, and the detailed comparisons in the next section show thet
a good thermal breeder with low specific inventory could, in spite of its
low breeding gain, meke better use of our nuclear resources than a good
fast breeder with high specific inventory end high breeding gain.
The molten seltuapproach to a breeder promiseS‘to satisfy the three
criteria of technical feasibility, very low pover cost, and good fuel
utilization. Its development as a uniquely promising’ competitor to the
fast breeder is, we believe, in the national interest. :
It is our purpose in the remainder of this report to outline the
current status of the technology, &snd to estimate what is required to
develop and demonstrate the technology for a full-scale thermal breeder
based on molten fluorides. - o
¥Total Kllograms of fissioneble material in the reactor, in storage
end.in fuel reprocessing and refabrication plents per megawatt of
electric generating capacity o , . L
—
O
§ N oo
‘i)( e
- Y .
& A
P
n
, "'EUEL-UT_ILIZATION COMPARISON
- Growth of Electric Generating Capacity
The importance of good fuel utilization can be shown simply as
follows. A projection of the rate of growth of the.electrical generating
capacity in the U.S. is presented in Table 1. Numbers through the year
2000 were based on estimates developed by the Federal Power Commission
- and the AEC for the Report to the President in 1962 and were the nuclear |
capacities updated to reflect the present rapid growth of nuclear electric
capacity. The total capacities for the years beyond 2000 were based, in
Case A, on continued growth at the exponential rate of about 5% per year
and, in Case B; on continued growth at a linear rate of 100,000 Mw/yr--
the rate at year 2000. In Case B, the rate of expansion of total electrical
.generating capacity would be down to about 2% per year by the year 2030.
The nuclear capacities for the years beyond 2000 were extrapolated on the
basis that all new generating capacity after about 2020 would be nuclear.
Table 1. Electric Utility Generating Capacity
R
Total Capaoity Nuclear Capacity
Yoar | (1000 Mw) _( 1000 Mw) Percent
' Case A Case B Case A Case B Nuclear
1965 2ko 240 1 1 0.4
1970 330 330 n* nf 3
(1973) (390) (3%) (36)° (36)2 (9)
1980 580 580 - 1ho® o® o
1990 1000 1000 390 390 39
- 2000 1700 1700 . 800 800 w7
2010 2900 2700 . 1700 1500 ~60
2020 5000 3700 3400 2500 ~70
2030 . 8600 4700 . 7000 - 3800 ~B0
- aProject.ions based on present rapid rate of sales of
g nuclear plants. Original nunbers were 6.8 for 1970 and
75 for 1980. Numbers for 1973 were not in the original
- projection but are based.on the present sales picture and
. lend support to the higher number for 1980. '
'Case A - exponential growth continued at rate of about 5%'.'
. per year'beyond 2000.
Case B - growth linear after 2000 at a rate ‘of 100,000 Mw
' per year. -
10
I
Nuclear Fuel Resources
Nuclear fuel resources estihated to be available in thé U.S5. to
support this expansion of the nuclear power industry are shown in relation
to cost in Teble 2. .If we define low-cost resources as those obteinable
- 0.
Table 2. U.S. Nuclear Fuel Resources (
-Cost Reasonable Assured ' Total Resources
($/1b Uz0s ‘Resources (thousand (thousand short
or ThO2) short tons of oxide) tons of oxide)
Uranium Resources
5 to 10 195 (L75%) 800%
10 to 30 Loo- 1000
30 to 50 5000 | 8000
50 to 100 6000 15,000
100 to 500 500,000 2,500,000 ]
Thorium Resources )
5 to 10 , 100 S 400 ¥
10 to 30 100 200
30 to 50 3000 10,000
50 to 100 8000 - 25,000
100 to 500 1,000,000 3,000,000
¥Includes all uranium delivered to AEC to date.
for less than $30 per pound, then our total low-cost resources are be=-
lieved to be 1.8 million short tons of UsOg, containing about 10,000
tons of recoverable 235U, and 600,000 short tons of ThOa. '
[
FuelJUtilizationnCharacteristics of Con%erter Reactors:
The efficiency of fuel utilization is.determined by the quantity of
Ua0g required to provide the total inventory of fissionable materiel
associated with the reactor per megawatt of electrical generating capacity
and the guantity of Ualg required per year per megawatt of electrical
generating capacity to provide for burnup of fissionsble materisl. These 2
requirements are listed in Table 3 for several types of reactors. The fiuj
reactors are more ‘advanced than are being built today, but the performance
d‘ (‘ . ‘ o | +) :’,50"",
" Table 37.‘3 "F.‘u‘el-Use Characteri‘stricé' of Several Types _of‘ Con‘ver_ter‘ Reactors
Specific Inventory o ' Annnal Consmnption :at 0.8 Total Load 'Fact‘.orb‘
- Reactor Type kg fissile /short tons U303) /short tons ThO \ kg fissile\ ‘short tons Usoa\ /short tons ThO-\
| Mw(_e) \ 1000 Mw(e)
"
\ 1000 Mu(e) N\ mele) /i 1000 Mw(e) /% 1000 Mw(e)
BRor AR 2.3 3506'7‘?@'- Y
I 1 2 260 ST 03h | L L
weR b 0 %0 o007 | 5 15
HIOCR-Th a;fl 520 - 130 o022 b8 o7
CEIGR - ‘- 3.1‘ _ 610 | 9% 011 o 0.8
VAeR 1.0 . 220 w0 0.5 o 1
Includes total inventory in reactor, fuel processing, fuel fabrication and storage.
bBased on recycle of plutonium.
Tt
12
indicated should be attainable within & few years, except possibly for
the hypothetical Very Advanced Converter Reactor, vhich has & much lower
specific inventory and & conversion ratio approaching one.. The latter is
included to show what greatly improved "advanced converters" or high-
performance near-breeders might accomplish. In the studies from which
the data were taken, the reactors were generally optimized to obtain the
lowest power cost from low-cost fuels. Recycle of plutonium is assumed
in estimating the burnup. Optimization for use of higher cost fuels
would have resulted in better, but not greatly better, fuel utillzation
and higher power costs.
Fuel Resource Requirements with- Converter Reactors'
The deta from Tebles 1 and 3 were used to obtain the curves in Fig. 1.
The assumption was made that only boiling or pressurized water reactors
would be built until 1976. Beginning in 1976 sdvanced converters associ-
ated with a given curve would begin to be built and by 1988 all new reac-
tors would be advanced converters. Each reactor built was assumed to have
8 life of 30 years. = '
The amount of uranium required for the inventory and the total burnup
to any given date is shown in Fig. 1 along with the total estimated re-
sources and the total cost of obtaining those resources. The fuel require-
ments for pressurized and boiling water reactors do not differ appreciably
and would require the mining of all our reserves costing less than $30 per
pound by shortly after the year 2000. If the industry continues to expand
as projected and the estimate of the availability and cost of the fuels
is reasonably accurate, all the fuel available for less than $50 per pound
would have to be mined by 2030 at a cost of about $700 billion. -The
advanced converters presently proposed will buy 5 to 10 years' time in
uranium reserves over the pressurized and boiling water reactors.
Further extension by converter reactors would require development of
a reactor--probably of a completely different type--with & much lowver
specific inventory and a higher conversion ratio. Even with such a very
advanced converter, the total domestic uranium resource, available for
less than $50 per pound UzOg, would be consumed by about 2050.
Figure 1 does not give the whole picture. A power reactor should
run dependably and,profitably for about 30 years, so when & reactor is
built, we, in & sense, commit a& fuel supply for 30 years. For the reac-
tors and growth rates used in meking the curves in Fig. 1, the total
commitment at any given time is about the same as the total shown for
_the inventory and burnup 10 years later. Reactors built as late as 1990
in an "all-water-reactor economy” would be fueled initially with uranium
costing as little as $10 per pound UsOg. However, the cost of fuel could
be expected to rise to $30 per pound of UaOg during the life of the plant
if there were no further expansion of the power industry, and to $50 per
pound if the industry continued to expand rapidly.
L.
[
b
)
i
-
.
: $30/1b Us0g Ǥ50 billion
$10/1b U30e.
~$10 billion
Resources Mined (thousand short tons)
8
—- —- _crase‘B
10 :
1970. . 1980 . 1990 2000 . 2010 2020 = 2030
- Fig. 1. Fuel -ReQuiréd, for Inventory and Current Burnup in Converter
Reactors. ' Co S - :
1k
The ThOz commitment is &bout the same for the HWOCR, HTGR, and the
VACR. The light water breeder reactor has a much greater thorium inventory.
In all cases the thorium inventory is several times the 30-year burnup, so
the amount of thorium required at any time is close to the total commitment.
Although much less thorium is required then urenium, the low-cost reserves
are smaller and would be used in inventory by 2010 to 2030.
The effect of the cost of UzOg and ThOz on the cost of power is shown
in Table L4 for the reactors and the corresponding inventory and consumption
numbers from Teble 3. These costs are only the costs associated with the
raw materials and do not reflect the higher enrichment, febrieation, pro-
cessing, and other costs that invariebly eccompany inereases’ in raw mate-
rial cost. They are, however, for reactors that have not been optimized
for use of ‘high-cost resources. All except the very best converter reac-
tors would suffer heavy penalties if the UzOg cost were to rise to $30
per pound, In the thorium reactors, the consumption is small, and for
those reactors with low inventory the use of high-cost resources has only
a small effect on the power cost. The light water breeder reactor would
incur a considerable cost penalty in an era of high-cost thorium.
Fuel Utilization Characteristics of Breeder Reactors
The effectiveness with which & breeder reactor can reduce the total
resource requirements depends on the specific inventory and doubling time
of fissile material in the breeder system, the growth rate of the nuclear
pover industry, and the capacity in converter reactors at the time the
breeders begin to be used for essentially all new capacity. Character-
istics taken from studles of oxide- and carbide-fueled fast breeders and
of a molten-salt-fueled thermal breeder are presented in Teble 5. The
estimated doubling times vary from T to 30 years for the fast breeders
and from 8 to 50 years for the thermal breeder.
Fuel Resource Requirements with Breeder Reactors
The total resource requirements¥* for a power industry in which only
water reactors are built until 1976 or 1986 and only breeders are built
after 1998 end 1998, respectively, are presented in Figs. 2 and 3. The
figures show the total resource requirements to depend heavily on the -
capacity in water reactors &t the time when breeder reactors are intro-
duced and, by comparison with Fig. 1, the great 1ncent1ve for expediting
the development of breeders.
The thermal breeder is clearly competitive with the fast breeders
in reducing the requirements for mined uranium. If the doubling time is
less than ebout 12 years, the maximm resource requiremeht depends more
on doubling time than specific inventory, so there is little difference
~ *Inventory in converter and breeder reactors, plus net consumption
by converters minus net production by breeders.
Q,
3]
i WM
) ( o Ay, o0
Table 4. Partial Effect of Us0g on Cost of Power'
P ( oy
~ ‘Contribution of Raw Material Cost to Power Cost (mills/kvhr)
Reactor Type — /I [ $30/10_ __Bo/w
' e ;nventofy.—‘BurnuP7' Inventory = Burnup . Inventory Burnup Inventory Burnup
G P ggos Requirements
BWR or MR 0.07 . 0.19 0.1 0.38 0.43 1.2 0.70 1.9
HWOCR-U = 0.0 0.0 0.07 0.21 0.22 0.66 0.37 1.0
IWBR 0.2 0.02 0.24 0.0k 0.67 0.1k 1.2 0.22
HWOCR-Th 0.0 0.07 0.1h 0.14 0.45 0.43 0.73 0.68
HIGR - 0.09 - 0.0k 0.19 0.07 0.58 0.21 0.94 0.3
VACR - . . .0.03 0.02 0.06 0.03 0.19 0.10 0.31 0.16
| | ThOo Requirements
EWOCR-Th, HTGR, . - 0.0l 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.09 0.01 0.14 0.01
VACR e
INBR 0.05 0.00 0.11 0.00 0.33 0.01 0.53 0.01
aInventory chargedvat-lo% per year.
Gt
Teble 5. Fuel-Utilization Characteristics of Several Breeder Reactors
(Doubling time = 1/annual yield)
Specific Inventory
Doubling
fissile) (ahort tons Uaog) Breeding Time
Mw(e) 1000 Mw(e) Ratio (yr)
Liquid-metal-cooled fast breeder reactors ‘ _
Carbide fueled? 5 1100 1.b to 1.6 12 - 17
Carbide fueled?sf 2.h 520 1.h 8
Oxide fueled®»f h 870 1.2 to 1.3 18 - 28
Oxide fueledd:f | 3 650 1.2 to 1.k 10 - 20
Helium-cooled fast breeder reactor A S - o
Oxide fueled® h.3 ' . 930 | 1.5 | 12
. Carbide fueled | 3 650 1.6 T
Molten-salt thermel breeder reactor 0.4k to 1.5 87 to 320 1.03 to 1.08 8 - 50
MSBR with Pa removal | 0.7 150 1.07 14
®R. B. Steck (compiler), Liquid Metal Fast Breeder Reactor Design Study, WCAP-3251-1 Westinghouse
Electric Corporation (Janvary 1964).
Liqnid Metal Fast Breeder Reactor Design Study, CEND-200 Vbl.\I and II Combustion Engineering, -
Inc, (January 196L). .
“Large Fast Reactor Design Study, ACNP-6h503, Allis Chalmers (January 1964).
, . J. McNelly, Liquid Metal Fast Breeder Reactor Study, GEAP- hhlB Vbl. T and II, General
- Electric (January 19637.
A Study of a Gas-Cooled Fast Breeder Reactor3 Initial Study, Core Design Analysis and System
Development Program, Final Summary Report, GA=553(, General Atomic Division of General Dynamics
(August 15, 1964). |
fAn Evaluation of Four Designs of a 1000 Mie Ceramic Fueled Fast Breeder Reactor, C00-2T79,
Chicago Operations Office, U. 5. Atomic Energy Commission (December 1, 1964).
. C. | .. o 0,
1
44 ( ~ A) »
10,000 ; $50/1b UsOg 4700 billdon
$30/1b U505 ~450 btdlton
- Faat Breeders ‘ 'I.‘hérmailiBrééders —
. Resource Requirements (thousand short tons UsOs)
-—---- Case A ' --—---- - Case A
‘ .
1970 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 1970 1990 2000 2010
. . , | ‘!ear - - \ . Year
Fig. 2. Total Fuel Requirements for Nuclear Power Industry Based on
Introduction of Breeder Reactors in 1976. -
2020 2030
yr
a} c =l
T
10,000, $50/1b Us0a ~4700 billton,
50 yr
24 yr