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Multiple Contagions #63
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I've got an approach which will work for continuous time (which shows some interesting oscillatory behaviors). I have not done this in discrete time. The main reason for this is that it's not clear to me what to do if contradictory things try to happen at the same time. If you've got some thoughts, I'd be interested in your input (and having you develop something). Can you give me an idea what you'd want to do? I've got a deadline at the end of next week so have almost no time to do anything till then. |
I haven't looked too closely at what I would actually be developing, but my goal would be to implement a method that simulates a SIR model with multiple contagions. With regards to your concern about simultaneous infection, this shouldn't be a problem if there is no assumption of competition, correct? In the case of competing or cooperating contagions, I think you're right that we need to decide how that would be resolved. P.S. |
@joelmiller could you send me a link to that method you're using for continuous time. Also, I found a paper on discrete-time multiple contagion that claims to handle the possibility for synchronous infection. I'll send it your way if it seems to solve the problem that you mentioned. |
There are examples of competing and cooperating diseases near the bottom of the list here: https://epidemicsonnetworks.readthedocs.io/en/latest/Examples.html#non-sis-sir-processes-with-gillespie-simple-contagion |
Here is the paper that I mentioned: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0095669 They just handled the problem of multiple successful transmissions by choosing one uniformly randomly although I'm sure you've thought of that. |
Influence maximization, epidemic thresholds, and other topics have sparked interest in competing and cooperating contagions in recent years. Is there any way to do a discrete-time multiple contagion epidemic simulation with EoN currently? If not, I am working on this area at the University of Virginia and would be happy to contribute this.
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