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Probability and Statistics, DeGroot

The objective of this repository is to write my numerical notes and observations about the topics I'm reviewing of Probability and Statistics. For me, this book is a great source of knowledge and instruction to the basics principles of probability and a good introduction to advanced statistics.

Table of Contents

1. INTRODUCTION TO PROBABILITY

  • 1.1 The History of Probability
  • 1.2 Interpretations of Probability
  • 1.3 Experiments and Events
  • 1.4 Set Theory
  • 1.5 The Definition of Probability
  • 1.6 Finite Sample Spaces
  • 1.7 Counting Methods
  • 1.8 Combinatorial Methods
  • 1.9 Multinomial Coefficients
  • 1.10 The Probability of a Union of Events
  • 1.11 Statistical Swindles
  • 1.12 Supplementary Exercises

2. CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY

  • 2.1 The Definition of Conditional Probability
  • 2.2 Independent Events
  • 2.3 Bayes’ Theorem
  • 2.4 The Gambler's Ruin Problem
  • 2.5 Supplementary Exercises

3. RANDOM VARIABLES AND DISTRIBUTIONS

  • 3.1 Random Variables and Discrete Distributions
  • 3.2 Continuous Distributions
  • 3.3 The Cumulative Distribution Function
  • 3.4 Bivariate Distributions
  • 3.5 Marginal Distributions
  • 3.6 Conditional Distributions
  • 3.7 Multivariate Distributions
  • 3.8 Functions of a Random Variable
  • 3.9 Functions of Two or More Random Variables
  • 3.10 Markov Chains
  • 3.11 Supplementary Exercises

4. EXPECTATION

  • 4.1 The Expectation of a Random Variable
  • 4.2 Properties of Expectations
  • 4.3 Variance
  • 4.4 Moments
  • 4.5 The Mean and the Median
  • 4.6 Covariance and Correlation
  • 4.7 Conditional Expectation
  • 4.8 Utility
  • 4.9 Supplementary Exercises

5. SPECIAL DISTRIBUTIONS

  • 5.1 Introduction
  • 5.2 The Bernoulli and Binomial Distributions
  • 5.3 The Hypergeometric Distributions
  • 5.4 The Poisson Distributions
  • 5.5 The Negative Binomial Distributions
  • 5.6 The Normal Distributions
  • 5.7 The Gamma Distributions
  • 5.8 The Beta Distributions
  • 5.9 The Multinomial Distributions
  • 5.10 The Bivariate Normal Distributions
  • 5.11 Supplementary Exercises

6. LARGE RANDOM SAMPLES

  • 6.1 Introduction
  • 6.2 The Law of Large Numbers
  • 6.3 The Central Limit Theorem
  • 6.4 The Correction for Continuity
  • 6.5 Supplementary Exercises

7. ESTIMATION

  • 7.1 Statistical Inference
  • 7.2 Prior and Posterior Distributions
  • 7.3 Conjugate Prior Distributions
  • 7.4 Bayes Estimates
  • 7.5 Maximum Likelihood Estimators
  • 7.6 Properties of Maximum Likelihood Estimators
  • 7.7 Sufficient Statistics
  • 7.8 Jointly Sufficient Statistics
  • 7.9 Improving an Estimator
  • 7.10 Supplementary Exercises

8. SAMPLING DISTRIBUTIONS OF ESTIMATORS

  • 8.1 The Sampling Distribution of a Statistic
  • 8.2 The Chi-Square Distributions
  • 8.3 Joint Distribution of the Sample Mean and Sample Variance
  • 8.4 The t Distributions
  • 8.5 Confidence Intervals
  • 8.6 Bayesian Analysis of Samples from a Normal Distribution
  • 8.7 Unbiased Estimators
  • 8.8 Fisher Information
  • 8.9 Supplementary Exercises

9. TESTING HYPOTHESES

  • 9.1 Problems of Testing Hypotheses
  • 9.2 Testing Simple Hypotheses
  • 9.3 Uniformly Most Powerful Tests
  • 9.4 Two-Sided Alternatives
  • 9.5 The T Test
  • 9.6 Comparing the Means of Two Normal Distributions
  • 9.7 The F Distributions
  • 9.8 Bayes Test Procedures
  • 9.9 Foundational Issues
  • 9.10 Supplementary Exercises

10. CATEGORICAL DATA AND NONPARAMETRIC METHODS

  • 10.1 Tests of Goodness-of-Fit
  • 10.2 Goodness-of-Fit for Composite Hypotheses
  • 10.3 Contingency Tables
  • 10.4 Tests of Homogeneity
  • 10.5 Simpson's Paradox
  • 10.6 Kolmogorov-Smirnov Tests
  • 10.7 Robust Estimation
  • 10.8 Sign and Rank Tests
  • 10.9 Supplementary Exercises
  • 11.1 The Method of Least Squares
  • 11.2 Regression
  • 11.3 Statistical Inference in Simple Linear Regression
  • 11.4 Bayesian Inference in Simple Linear Regression
  • 11.5 The General Linear Model and Multiple Regression
  • 11.6 Analysis of Variance
  • 11.7 The Two-Way Layout
  • 11.8 The Two-Way Layout with Replications
  • 11.9 Supplementary Exercises

12. SIMULATION

  • 12.1 What is Simulation?
  • 12.2 Why is Simulation Useful?
  • 12.3 Simulating Specific Distributions
  • 12.4 Importance Sampling
  • 12.5 Markov Chain Monte Carlo
  • 12.6 The Bootstrap
  • 12.7 Supplementary Exercises

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Notes for the book Probability and Statistics from DeGroot

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