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This code show the SVAR results from the paper: "Lutz Kilian, 2009. "Not All Oil Price Shocks Are Alike: Disentangling Demand and Supply Shocks in the Crude Oil Market," American Economic Review, vol. 99(3), pages 1053-1069, June. Specifically: Cholesky Decomposition, Structural Impulse Response, Historical Evolution of the Structural Shock, His…

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mauep2025/Global-Oil-Market

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Global-Oil-Market

This code emulates the SVAR results from the paper: "Lutz Kilian, 2009. "Not All Oil Price Shocks Are Alike: Disentangling Demand and Supply Shocks in the Crude Oil Market," American Economic Review, vol. 99(3), pages 1053-1069, June. Specifically: Cholesky Decomposition, Structural Impulse Response, Historical Evolution of the Structural Shock, Historical Decomposition of the Structural Shocks and the Forecast Error Variance Decomposition.

The sheet "Data_oil_1" contains monthly data for the period 1973:M1 to 2019:M6:

RAC: US Refiner Acquisition Cost of Crude Oil (divided by US CPI) [in log]

WTI: West Texas Intermediate Oil Price (divided by US CPI) [in log]

Oil_Prod: Global Oil Production [in log]

Oil_Inv: OECD Oil Inventories [in log]

Kilian_Index: A proxy of global economic activity constructed from the freight rates by Lutz Kilian. [index]

Hamilton_Index: 2 years growth in global industrial production [in %]

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This code show the SVAR results from the paper: "Lutz Kilian, 2009. "Not All Oil Price Shocks Are Alike: Disentangling Demand and Supply Shocks in the Crude Oil Market," American Economic Review, vol. 99(3), pages 1053-1069, June. Specifically: Cholesky Decomposition, Structural Impulse Response, Historical Evolution of the Structural Shock, His…

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