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34 changes: 34 additions & 0 deletions paper.bib
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Expand Up @@ -176,3 +176,37 @@ @article{BORGONOVO2007771
volume = {92},
year = {2007}
}

@article{RECC:2021,
author = {Pauliuk, S. and Fishman, T. and Heeren, N. and Berrill, P. and Tu, Q. and Wolfram, P. and Hertwich, E.G.},
doi = {10.1111/jiec.13023},
journal = {Journal of Industrial Ecology},
pages = {260--273},
title = {{Linking service provision to material cycles: A new framework for studying the resource efficiency–climate change (RECC) nexus}},
url = {https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/jiec.13023},
volume = {25},
year = {2021}
}

@article{Mat-dp:2022,
author = {Cervantes Barron, K. and Cullen, J.M.},
doi = {10.21105/joss.04460},
journal = {Journal of Open Source Software},
pages = {4460},
title = {{Mat-dp: An open-source Python model for analysing material demand projections and their environmental implications, which result from building low-carbon systems.}},
url = {https://joss.theoj.org/papers/10.21105/joss.04460},
volume = {7},
number = {76},
year = {2022}
}

@article{Mat-dp:2024,
author = {Cervantes Barron, K. and Cullen, J.M.},
doi = {10.1016/j.resconrec.2024.107803},
journal = {Resources, Conservation and Recycling},
pages = {107803},
title = {{Using open-source tools to project bulk and critical material demand and assess implications for low-carbon energy and transport systems: Introducing Mat-dp model tools.}},
url = {https://joss.theoj.org/papers/10.21105/joss.04460},
volume = {209},
year = {2024}
}
31 changes: 26 additions & 5 deletions paper.md
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Expand Up @@ -45,9 +45,9 @@ toxicity impacts, etc.

# Statement of need

Most IAMs and ESMs project cost-optimized future energy supplies within
Most IAMs and ESMs project cost- or utility-optimized future scenarios within
specified greenhouse gas emissions trajectories, outlining changes needed
in regional energy mixes for global warming mitigation [@Riahi:2017].
in regional energy mixes and means of transport for global warming mitigation [@Riahi:2017].
Prospective Life Cycle Assessment (pLCA) is crucial for evaluating the
environmental performance of existing and emerging production systems, with
a growing body of literature in scenario-based pLCA for emerging technologies
Expand All @@ -73,6 +73,18 @@ bidirectional coupling between ESM and LCA. Yet, these studies focused
on specific sectors or technologies and have not yet generalized to broader
scenarios and indicators, nor have they made their implementations widely available.

Beyond conventional pLCA approaches, several tools and frameworks have been developed
that leverage LCA data to support further analysis, often through automation and integration
with broader modeling frameworks. For example, the `ODYM-RECC` framework integrates LCA data
to assess resource efficiency within climate mitigation scenarios, providing insights on
material demand and supply chain impacts [@RECC:2021]. Similarly, the `Mat-dp` tool, when
supplied with suitable input data, can be used to calculate materials needed and estimate
environmental impacts of transition scenarios [@Mat-dp:2022], [@Mat-dp:2024]. However, because
these tools depend on exogeneous input data, they are not designed to
systematically consider the time-dependent technology mixes influencing the production system.
This limits their ability to endogenously and dynamically assess evolving environmental impacts
and material demand, restricting consistency with the scenario assessed.

To address these challenges, the open-source library `pathways` utilizes the
LCA framework `brightway` [@Mutel:2017] to systematically evaluate
environmental impacts of energy transition scenarios. `pathways` works with
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -109,14 +121,23 @@ time step, geographical origin of impact, life-cycle stage and impact assessment
method (6 in Figure 1).

Some post-processing is done on the inventory matrices, including dealing
with double accounting. For this purpose, the original LCI database is adjusted by
with double counting. For this purpose, the original LCI database is adjusted by
zeroing out all regional energy inputs that the energy system
model accounts for and might demand during the system's life cycle,
following the same workflow presented in [@Volkart:2018] (see 5 in Figure 1).
The practitioner is required to selectively cancel out overlapping activities already
accounted for in the scenario. We employ a modular approach in this adjustment process,
where practitioners, based on their understanding of the model generating the scenario,
can select specific components (e.g., electricity, heat, or specific product inputs)
to exclude. For instance, if the IAM models regional electricity generation, the
corresponding electricity inputs in the LCA system for upstream processes are
removed to prevent double counting. This modular approach enhances transparency and traceability,
making it easier to document and track which system components are modified, ensuring consistency between
the scenario outputs and the LCA.

Finally, Global Sensitivity Analysis (GSA) can be performed on the results.
Currently, `pathways` supports the use of the `SALib` library for GSA [@Herman2017, @Iwanaga2022],
notably the Delta Moment-Independent Measure (DMIM) method [@BORGONOVO2007771], to rank
Currently, `pathways` supports the use of the `SALib` library for GSA [@Herman2017],
[@Iwanaga2022], notably the Delta Moment-Independent Measure (DMIM) method [@BORGONOVO2007771], to rank
the influence of the database exchanges on the results.

![`pathways` workflow: from data package to impact assessment.\label{fig:workflow}](assets/workflow_diagram.png)
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2 changes: 1 addition & 1 deletion pathways/data/technologies_shares.yaml
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@@ -1,4 +1,4 @@
Wind: ### Check if IAMs make the distinction between onshore and offshore
Wind:
onshore-DDPM:
name: electricity production, wind, 1-3MW turbine, onshore, direct drive
reference product: electricity, high voltage
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