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Climate change predictions using Deep Neural Network and Long Short-Term Memory

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Modeling Climate Change of Top 12 GDP Countries Using DNN and LSTM

Ray Jennings III

Computer Science Department, Pace University, New York, NY, USA


Climatologists have studied the change in air and ocean temperature and have come up a set of risk-factors as the primary causes of climate-change. Reputable data sources have put together datasets for climate-change risk factors. Many of these factors are attributed to population- specifically overall population size, urban population size, educational level, life expectancy, poverty rate, population density, land usage types, energy consumption of renewable and non-renewable sources, greenhouse gas emissions. In a previous publication [1] I looked at using the Long Short Term Memory model [2] to create a time series prediction model based on global warming world temperatures. Within this new work, I take into consideration 30 climate-change features and use a deep neural network which includes stacked and bidirectional LSTM layers among others as shown below. For each of the top 13 countries based on GDP [3], a multivariate, time-series based dataset, with a dimensionality of 30, was created for each of the 13 countries. Each country’s dataset was used with the LSTM based model and a future climate change prediction is made.





References

[1] Jennings, R. & Kaleemunnisa LNU, “Modeling Climate Change Through DNN and LSTM”, 51st Southeast Decision Sciences Institute Conference, February 2022.

[2] Hochreiter, S. & Schmidhuber, J. Neural Computation, Volume 9, Issue 8, pp 1735–1780, November 1997.

[3] World Population Review, https://worldpopulationreview.com/countries/countries-by-gdp

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