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Monitoring, comparing and forecasting the progress of Vaccination with the COVID19 cases per day.

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saketl7/Covid19_Prediction_and_Analysis

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Covid19 Detection and Vaccination | Predictive Analysis

Introduction

  • This project is divided into 2 parts

    1. Pneumonia detection from lung x-rays: COVID19 virus affects the respiratory system of healthy individual & Chest X-Ray is one of the important imaging methods to identify Pneumonia caused due to corona virus. With the Chest X - Ray dataset, developed a Deep Learning Model to classify the X-Rays of Healthy vs Pneumonia (Corona) affected patients.
    2. Monitoring the progress of Vaccination: Monitoring and comparing and forecasting the progress of Vaccination with the COVID19 cases per day.
  • This model also powers a web application to classify the Corona Virus (Pneumonia) X-rays.

Datasets Used

X-Ray Classification

Classification Model:

  • Input Data : 80-20 split Augmented - rescale the image 1./255, rotate by 90 degrees, shift width and height by 0.15,flip horizontally, zoom by 0.5.

  • Convolutional neural network : 4 Conv layers with 3x3 strides, ReLU Non-Linearity , Max Pooling, Batch Normalization 4 Dense Layers with Dropout Softmax layer

Diagram: Graph showing new Covid'19 cases and the vaccinated cases

Diagram: Graph showing prediction of Covid'19 cases and tha vaccinated cases till March

How is this innovative

  • This Model is inspired by the famous AlexNet [4] and the FastRCN [5] paper.
  • The inputs are 224x224 images, which are passed through a total of four convolution layers, then flattened for classification.
  • This model powers a web application to classify the Corona Virus(Pneumonia) X-rays.

Conclusion

  • According to current situation (28/01/2021 - India), vaccination is provided to approx 2 lakh people per day. If we go in accordance with this, then it would take around 19 years to vaccinate 136 crore people.
  • Our future work would include:
    • Get more data
    • Improve model accuracy
    • Refresh the front-end design
    • Deploy the pneumonia detection model on heroku

References

  1. Chest X-Ray: https://www.kaggle.com/praveengovi/coronahack-chest-xraydataset.
  2. Vaccination Dataset: https://ourworldindia.org/
  3. Covid Data: https://api.rootnet.in/
  4. https://proceedings.neurips.cc/paper/2012/hash/c399862d3b9d6b76c8436e924a68c45b-Abstract.html
  5. https://arxiv.org/abs/1504.08083v2

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Monitoring, comparing and forecasting the progress of Vaccination with the COVID19 cases per day.

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