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add draft note to unfinished articles (#9)
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simonsteiger authored Jul 18, 2024
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8 changes: 8 additions & 0 deletions assets/rules/_banners.scss
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color: $dark-plum !important;
background-color: $dark-plum !important;
}

.alert-warning {
background-color: $light-blue !important;
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.alert {
color: black;
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2 changes: 1 addition & 1 deletion content/articles/modrak2021/index.qmd
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Expand Up @@ -5,7 +5,7 @@ author: Simon Steiger
categories:
- COVID-19
- Trajectory
- Hidden Markov models
- Hidden Markov Models
subtitle: >
Disease progression of 213 patients hospitalized with COVID-19 in the Czech Republic in March-October 2020: An exploratory analysis
---
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1 change: 1 addition & 0 deletions content/epidemiology/cutoffs/index.qmd
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---
title: "Cutoffs used it Rheumatology"
author: Simon Steiger
draft: true
date: "2024-06-03"
categories:
- Rheumatoid arthritis
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1 change: 1 addition & 0 deletions content/programming/whyjulia/index.qmd
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---
title: "A love letter to Julia"
author: Simon Steiger
draft: true
date: "2024-06-02"
categories:
- Julia
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7 changes: 4 additions & 3 deletions content/statistics/diagnosemcmc/index.qmd
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---
title: "Diagnosing issues in MCMC sampling"
author: Simon Steiger
draft: true
date: "2024-06-01"
categories:
- MCMC
Expand All @@ -20,11 +21,11 @@ Well! I should write a well thought-out explanation here when it's not late in t
This is my current understanding of which MCMC internals should be checked, how potential issues can be resolved, and what the internals reflect.
No guarantee!

### $\hat{R}$
### R hat

> $\hat{R}$ should be very close to 1 for all parameters.
> $\hat{R}$ should be extremely close to 1 for all parameters.
$\hat{R}$ is a convergence measure (variance within vs between chains, I think) and must be very close to 1.
$\hat{R}$ (pronounced "R hat") is a convergence measure (variance within vs between chains, I think) and must be extremely close to 1.
Otherwise, our chains have not converged to the sample from the same posterior distribution.
If $\hat{R}$ is elevated, you can usually fix this by simply drawing more samples per chain.
In case the posterior geometry can be simplified with, e.g., non centered parametrisation in hierarchical models, this is often a more efficient step to take.
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